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The 5 Biggest Things to Watch For in the Presidential Race in April

四月美國大選的五大看點

The month of April appears to be do-or-die for Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders as both presidential candidates try to win as many delegates as possible and prevent each of their party’s respective frontrunners from winning the nomination outright.

對于特德·克魯茲和伯尼·桑德斯來說，四月份似乎是決一死戰的時刻。兩位總統候選人要努力贏得盡可能多的代表的支持，以防各自的領跑者直接贏得總統候選人的提名。

Meanwhile, those frontrunners –- Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton -– will be looking to move further in the direction of locking things up over the next four weeks.

同時，兩位領跑者——唐納德·特朗普和希拉里·克林頓—— 則期待在接下來的四周里繼續保持領先的優勢。

With so much on the line for every candidate, here are five things to watch for in April:

對于每一名候選人來說，一切都是未知的，四月份，美國大選有五大看點：

Will Wisconsin Reject the Frontrunners?

看點一：威斯康星州會拒絕領跑者嗎?

On paper, Wisconsin Republicans are tailor-made Trump supporters.

名義上來說，威斯康星州的共和黨是特朗普量身定做的支持者。

In the 2012 Republican primary, exit polls showed that 57 percent of voters lacked a college degree.

在2012年的共和黨初選中，民調顯示，有57%的選民的文化程度都是大學文憑之下。

However, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s recent endorsement of Cruz, just two weeks before the Wisconsin primary, has given the Texas senator some much needed momentum. In the latest Marquette University Law School poll, Cruz led Trump by 10 points.

然而，就在威斯康星州初選的前兩周，威斯康星州州長沃克斯科特為克魯茲代言，為這位得克薩斯州參議員提供了一些急需的動力。馬凱特大學法學院最新的民調顯示，科魯茲領先特朗普十個百分點。

The same poll indicates the Badger State is feeling the Bern. Sanders is locked in a tight race with Clinton among likely Wisconsin Democratic voters: 49 to 45 percent.

同樣的民查顯示，獾州(威斯康星州的別稱)伯爾尼將會領先。桑德斯與克林頓的投票率咬得很緊，49%比45%.

The Sanders campaign also just announced that it raised a staggering $44 million in March.

桑德斯競選團隊剛剛宣布在三月他們的資金達到了4400萬美元。

I Love New York

看點二：我愛紐約

New York’s primary on April 19 is not only a battle for gaining delegates, it’s also personal.

4月19日的紐約初選不僅是代表爭奪之戰，也是個人之戰。

Both Democratic candidates have ties to the Empire State, making the contest more competitive. Sanders is Brooklyn-born and Clinton was the state’s senator for eight years.

兩名民主黨候選人都與帝國州(紐約州的別稱)有著緊密的聯系，這使得競爭更為緊張。桑德斯是布魯克林出生的，而克林頓則擔任了這一地區八年的參議員。

Having grown up in Queens, New York is Trump’s home turf as well.

對于在皇后區長大的特朗普來說，紐約也是他的主場。

Trump was far ahead of Cruz and Kasich in a Quinnipiac poll in New York released on March 31. Trump leads with 56 percent support, while Cruz and Kasich are neck-and-neck at 20 and 19 percent respectively.

3月31日紐約昆尼皮亞克民意調查顯示，特朗普以56%的支持率遙遙領先克魯茲和卡西奇，而克魯茲和卡西奇則以20%：19%的得票率不相上下。

The same poll shows, Clinton is 12 points ahead of Sanders.

同樣的民調顯示，希拉里領先桑德斯12個百分點。

The Democrats will be vying for 291 delegates while the Republicans will duke it out for 95 delegates.

民主黨將爭奪291名代表的支持，而共和黨將盡力贏得95名代表的支持。

Ninth Democratic Debate?

看點三：第九次民主黨辯論?

There could very well be another Democratic debate ahead of the much anticipated New York primary.

在期待已久的紐約州初選中，很有可能會再一次出現民黨主辯論。

Sanders’ campaign manager Jeff Weaver says both candidates should offer their final pitches to the “critical” voters of the Empire State.

桑德斯的競選經理人杰夫·韋弗說，兩位候選人都應該為贏得帝國州的關鍵票數而作最后的努力。

“The people of New York, the largest April primary, deserve to have the debate held in their state,” Weaver wrote, adding a jab at Clinton: “Your campaign has consistently chosen to deny the people of New York the opportunity to see Senator Sanders and Secretary Clinton debate.”

“在四月各個初選中，紐約的票數占比最大，它值得上演一場辯論，”韋弗寫道，并抨擊克林頓：“您的競選團隊一貫選擇不讓紐約的人們有機會看到參議員桑德斯和國務卿克林頓的辯論“。

Clinton campaign spokesman Brian Fallon said his candidate would be happy to debate Sanders this month.

克林頓競選團隊發言人布萊恩·法倫說，他的候選人很高興能在本月與桑德斯辯論。

"Our campaign indicated to the Sanders campaign through the DNC that we’re perfectly willing to debate in April,” Fallon said Tuesday in an interview on Bloomberg’s “With All Due Respect.” “If they can find a mutually agreeable date in the next couple of weeks before New York, I think it could happen.”

“我們的競選團隊通過DNC(民主黨全國委員會)對桑德斯競選團隊表明，我們非常愿意在四月進行辯論，”法倫在周二接受彭博社的采訪時表示， “恕我直言，”“如果在紐約初選之前，他們能在未來的幾個星期內，定一個雙方都同意的日期，我認為這是很可能的。“

April 26: The Big One

看點四：4月26日——關鍵的一站

Five northeast states will cast their ballots on April 26 -- Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island.

在4月26日這一天，東北五州——康涅狄格州，特拉華州，馬里蘭州，賓夕法尼亞州和羅得島，將投出他們的選票 -。

Some 463 delegates are at stake for the Democrats and 172 delegates for the Republicans.

民主黨有關鍵的463名代表人投票和共和黨172名。

While nabbing a majority of the states would give Sanders an opportunity to catch up to Clinton, who leads the Democratic race with 1,243 delegates, candidates on the other side of the aisle seem to have more at stake. For the Republican Party a majority of these primaries are winner-take-all or take most contests.

要贏得追趕上希拉里(她目前以1234票領先)的機會，桑德斯必須獲得這些州票選的大部分，而其他的民主黨候選人則需要贏得更多票選。共和黨方面，則是勝者優先。

Delegates, Delegates, Delegates

看點五：代表、代表、還是代表

As of right now, Trump needs to win 60 percent of the remaining delegates in order to garner the needed 1,237 delegates to clinch the Republican nomination. Should the bombastic billionaire lose Wisconsin by a huge margin, a contested convention is almost guaranteed.

截至目前為止，特朗普需要贏得剩下代表的60%，才能得到所需的1237名代表的支持，以問鼎最終的共和黨候選人的提名。如果這位夸夸其談的億萬富翁以大比分敗在威斯康星州，幾乎可以確定在政黨大會將會出現爭議。

With that in mind, all eyes will be on local state meetings where the actual individuals who fill the delegate slots will be chosen. These people will be critical when they are free to vote however they want on later ballots of a convention.

考慮到這一點，所有的目光都將集中于地方州會議，從中填補代表空缺的個人將會選出。在實際個人誰填寫委托插槽將選擇本地狀態會議。這些人擁有未來政黨大會的投票自由，他們是非常重要的。

Clinton needs to win just 671 more delegates in order to be the nominee of the Democratic Party. Sanders would need to win more than twice that amount of delegates -- 67 percent of the remaining 2,042 -- to be the party’s standard bearer.

希拉里只需要再贏得671名代表的投票，就可以成為民主黨候選人，有機會問鼎總統職位。而桑德斯要成為民主黨的旗手，所需要的代表人的票數則是希拉里的兩倍，需要爭取剩下的2042名代表的67%，才能成為民主黨的候選人。